Weather

Malika Dudley’s Maui County Forecast – 11/04/14

November 3, 2014, 10:45 PM HST
* Updated November 6, 7:26 AM
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By Meteorologist Malika Dudley / Email: [email protected]

**A breakdown of expected conditions specific to Maui County is presented below. All graphics are provided by the National Weather Service in Honolulu. Click directly on the image to make it larger.**

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Alert

A SHORT TERM FORECAST has been issued by the National Weather Service for the possibility of localized downpours for interior, western and southern areas this afternoon. Showers are expected to be brief but rainfall rates could exceed an inch per hour in the heaviest cells once they develop. Motorists could encounter significantly reduced visibility, localized ponding, and possibly traffic slowdowns in some areas.

Today

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Mostly sunny skies are expected for leeward parts of Maui County today with the possibility of heavy isolated afternoon showers for interior and lee spots as the sea breeze kicks up and cloud cover builds in the afternoon. Windward and mauka areas can expect scattered showers mainly in the morning and evening hours. High temperatures should fall in the range of 84° to 89° with a high of about 69° at 5000 feet. Generally we expect variable winds up to 15 mph.

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Sunrise: 6:30 a.m.
Sunset: 5:49 p.m.
UV index at 8 (“very high” exposure level)

Tonight
Tonight we should get east winds from 5 to 15 mph. Scattered showers are expected for windward and mauka areas overnight with just isolated showers for leeward spots. Low temperatures should fall in the range of 69° to 75° with a low of about 55° at 5000 feet.

Moonrise: 4:27 p.m.
Moonset: 5:20 a.m.
Next Full Moon: Nov 6, 2014 at 12:23 p.m.
Next New Moon: Nov 22, 2014 at 2:33 a.m.

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Looking Ahead
Moderate trades are expected to start filling back in late Tuesday into Wednesday. Another front is expected to approach the island chain starting Thursday, this will cut our trade winds off again. It’s still too far out to say for sure, but at this point the front is expected to impact Maui County Saturday into Sunday.

Surf & Seas
North: Surf is expected in the waist to head high range. Best breaks could see head high to slightly overhead set waves.
West: Breaks that don’t catch the swells are forecasted to get smaller surf in the ankle high range. Spots that are open to the north swell should see knee to waist high waves.
South: Ankle-slappers to possibly thigh high surf is expected as the south-southwest swell continues to ease.

A new northwest swell (315-335°) is expected to fill in this morning peaking in the knee to waist high range overnight. A reinforcement is on tap out of the north-northwest (330-360°) building Wednesday and peaking late in the day and holding through early Thursday in the chest to head high range, slightly overhead on the sets. Maybe an even bigger swell on the horizon for next weekend. Super Typhoon Nuri could possibly bring us a solid swell around Nov. 11, 2014.

Our current south-southwest swell continues to slowly fade out through the first half of this week. After that swell subsides, surf goes quiet with not much on the horizon out of the South Pacific.

Keep in mind, surf heights are measured on the face of the wave from trough to crest. Heights vary from beach to beach, and at the same beach, from break to break.

Almanac for Kahului Airport
Maximum Temperature for today:
Normal 85°
Record 92° / Set in 1995

Minimum Temperature for today:
Normal 69°
Record 61° / Set in 1970

Map of expected high temperatures in Maui County on Tuesday Nov. 4, 2014 / Image: NOAA / NWS

Map of expected high temperatures in Maui County on Tuesday Nov. 4, 2014 / Image: NOAA / NWS

Map of expected low temperatures in Maui County on Tuesday Nov. 4, 2014 / Image: NOAA / NWS

Map of expected low temperatures in Maui County on Tuesday Nov. 4, 2014 / Image: NOAA / NWS

Expected weather conditions at 7am in Maui County on Tuesday Nov. 4, 2014 / Image: NOAA / NWS

Expected weather conditions at 7am in Maui County on Tuesday Nov. 4, 2014 / Image: NOAA / NWS

Expected weather conditions at 4pm in Maui County on Tuesday Nov. 4, 2014 / Image: NOAA / NWS

Expected weather conditions at 4pm in Maui County on Tuesday Nov. 4, 2014 / Image: NOAA / NWS

Expected chance of cloud cover at 7am in Maui County on Tuesday Nov. 4, 2014 / Image: NOAA / NWS

Expected chance of cloud cover at 7am in Maui County on Tuesday Nov. 4, 2014 / Image: NOAA / NWS

Expected chance of cloud cover at 4pm in Maui County on Tuesday Nov. 4, 2014 / Image: NOAA / NWS

Expected chance of cloud cover at 4pm in Maui County on Tuesday Nov. 4, 2014 / Image: NOAA / NWS

Expected winds at 7am in Maui County on Tuesday Nov. 4, 2014 / Image: NOAA / NWS

Expected winds at 7am in Maui County on Tuesday Nov. 4, 2014 / Image: NOAA / NWS

Expected winds at 4pm in Maui County on Tuesday Nov. 4, 2014 / Image: NOAA / NWS

Expected winds at 4pm in Maui County on Tuesday Nov. 4, 2014 / Image: NOAA / NWS

Wave heights - Tuesday Nov. 4, 2014 / Image: NOAA / NWS

Wave heights – Tuesday Nov. 4, 2014 / Image: NOAA / NWS

Swell 1 - Tuesday Nov. 4, 2014 / Image: NOAA / NWS

Swell 1 – Tuesday Nov. 4, 2014 / Image: NOAA / NWS

Swell 2 - Tuesday Nov. 4, 2014 / Image: NOAA / NWS

Swell 2 – Tuesday Nov. 4, 2014 / Image: NOAA / NWS

Surface map - Tuesday Nov. 4, 2014 / Image: NOAA / NWS

Surface map – Tuesday Nov. 4, 2014 / Image: NOAA / NWS

Tides - Tuesday Nov. 4, 2014 / Image: NOAA / NWS

Tides – Tuesday Nov. 4, 2014 / Image: NOAA / NWS

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