Weather Forecast

Maui Weather Forecast for November 15, 2021

November 15, 2021, 7:15 AM HST
Listen to this Article
5 minutes
Loading Audio... Article will play after ad...
Playing in :00
A
A
A

no slideshow

Photo Credit: Tyler Rooke

West Side

Today: Partly sunny with scattered showers. Highs 77 to 83. Light winds. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Tonight: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 59 to 67. Light winds. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny with isolated showers in the morning, then partly sunny with scattered showers in the afternoon. Highs 78 to 84. Light winds. Chance of rain 30 percent.

South Side

Today: Partly sunny with scattered showers. Highs around 86. Light winds becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Tonight: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows around 65. Light winds. Chance of rain 30 percent.

ARTICLE CONTINUES BELOW AD

Tuesday: Mostly sunny. Isolated showers in the morning, then scattered showers in the afternoon. Highs around 87. Light winds. Chance of rain 30 percent.

North Shore

ARTICLE CONTINUES BELOW AD

Today: Partly sunny with scattered showers. Highs around 83 near the shore to around 72 near 5000 feet. East winds up to 10 mph shifting to the northeast around 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Tonight: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows around 66 near the shore to around 52 near 5000 feet. Northeast winds around 10 mph in the evening becoming light. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny in the morning then becoming partly sunny. Scattered showers. Highs around 84 near the shore to around 74 near 5000 feet. Light winds. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Central Maui

ARTICLE CONTINUES BELOW AD

Today: Partly sunny with scattered showers. Highs around 84. Light winds becoming north around 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Tonight: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 62 to 67. Light winds. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny with isolated showers in the morning, then partly sunny with scattered showers in the afternoon. Highs around 85. Light winds. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Upcountry

Today: Partly sunny with scattered showers. Highs around 61 at the visitor center to around 64 at the summit. Light winds becoming south around 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Tonight: Partly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows around 46 at the visitor center to around 42 at the summit. South winds around 10 mph in the evening becoming light. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs around 64 at the visitor center to around 67 at the summit. North winds up to 10 mph in the morning becoming light. Chance of rain 20 percent.

East Maui

Today: Partly sunny with scattered showers. Highs around 83 near the shore to around 72 near 5000 feet. East winds up to 10 mph shifting to the northeast around 10 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Tonight: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows around 66 near the shore to around 52 near 5000 feet. Northeast winds around 10 mph in the evening becoming light. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny in the morning then becoming partly sunny. Scattered showers. Highs around 84 near the shore to around 74 near 5000 feet. Light winds. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Lanai City

Today: Partly sunny with scattered showers. Highs around 74. Light winds. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Tonight: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 61 to 67. Light winds. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny with scattered showers. Highs around 74. Light winds. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Kaunakakai

Today: Partly sunny with scattered showers. Highs 76 to 85. East winds around 10 mph in the morning becoming light. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Tonight: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows 56 to 69. Light winds. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny with isolated showers. Highs 78 to 88. Light winds. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Detailed Forecast

Synopsis

Unsettled weather conditions will linger this morning as we transition back towards a drier weather pattern by Tuesday. Light background east to southeast winds will continue with local scale land and sea breezes over each island through Wednesday. Light to moderate trade winds will return for Thursday and Friday. Mostly fair weather conditions are forecast from Tuesday onward with just brief showers possible, favoring island mountain and interior sections.

Discussion

This mornings radar imagery shows moderate showers developing south of the island chain, expect some of these showers will drift into East Maui this morning. Satellite imagery shows an upper level trough passing eastward across the region. Drier conditions are starting to move into Kauai and will slowly spread eastward to the other islands later today.
Unsettled weather will continue to linger across the state today especially over Maui County where a plume of unstable tropical moisture continues to drift northward over the area. A low level trough, remnants of the dissipated front, has stalled near Kauai. An upper level trough moves eastward across the region likely enhancing showers over central and eastern islands. The flash flooding threat has diminished this morning and the Flood Watch was cancelled.
Light east to southeast background winds will continue on Tuesday and Wednesday, as the high pressure ridge north of the islands remains in a weakened state. These light large scale winds will allow land and sea breeze conditions to develop over each island. Trade winds will strengthen a bit on Thursday and Friday with light to moderate easterly winds and localized sea breezes along leeward island slopes. Lighter wind trends will continue into the upcoming weekend with land and sea breezes over leeward areas. Fair weather remains in the forecast from Tuesday onward with brief showers possible over island mountain and interior sections.

Aviation

An upper trough near Kauai will continue to advect relatively deep tropical moisture over the islands from the south today and generate scattered showers. There may be brief periods of MVFR ceilings and visibility associated with this activity.
Light east or southeastly flow will lead to sea breeze development by late this morning and into the afternoon.
AIRMET TANGO remains in effect for areas west of Oahu between 18000 and 25000 feet due tempo moderate turbulence.

Marine

Light winds are here to stay for most areas through at least the first half of the week as low pressure to the north lifts northeastward and away from the area. Background winds will remain out of the southeast over the eastern end of the state and variable over the western end due to a weak trough lingering. Guidance does reflect a light northeast flow setting up over Kauai and Oahu Tuesday night through Thursday with a transition back to light to moderate easterly trades by Friday statewide as the ridge sets up to the north.
Surf along north facing shores will gradually ease through the week as the current north-northwest swell shifts out of the north- northeast and lowers. The small trend will persist through the weekend.
Surf along east facing shores may trend up slightly Tuesday through midweek as the swell shifts out of the north-northeast. Otherwise, small surf will continue due to a combo of light winds locally and limited upstream fetch.

HFO Watches/Warnings/Advisories

None.

Maui Now Weather is brought to you by Blue Hawaiian Helicopters.

Check out their Maui Helicopter Tours today!

Data Courtesy of NOAA.gov

E-Mail Newsletters Receive daily or weekly updates via e-mail. Subscribe Now
News Alerts Breaking news alerts on your mobile device. Get the App

Comments

This comments section is a public community forum for the purpose of free expression. Although Maui Now encourages respectful communication only, some content may be considered offensive. Please view at your own discretion. View Comments